#yuriyshvets #yurishvets #ukraine #russia 00:00 Michael McCall: Spy drones over US military facilities are from China. 04:21 About Putin's speech. Horror was visible on his face. Ukraine's economy coped with the war better than Russia's. After the war, Russia will collapse. 07:53 Putin is showing off. He drank blood and went crazy. 08:50 Analysis by Michael Kofman. 14:18 A platform has been created for intensifying confrontation with Russia. After Kursk, Russia will seek to revise the European security order. 16:02 Putin's actions are forcing Putin's allies to challenge international norms. The Russian threat must be addressed now, it is becoming almost uncontrollable. 17:14 The role of the United States in European security. Isolationism is like death for the entire Western civilization. Russia's existential struggle with the West based on mythical threats. Risks of repression against its own population. 19:43 War has become a mechanism for creating wealth in Russia. 21:56 Lessons learned from the aggression in Ukraine. Russia lacks numbers and the ability to replenish losses. 25:11 The future of the Russian Armed Forces. Due to their mass production, outdated equipment will still pose a threat. 26:31 European air forces lack ammunition for a long war; in the event of a clash with Russia, its arsenals could be depleted in a few weeks or even days. 27:49 Former Norwegian ambassador to NATO: Trump will demand 3% for defense, but economic growth in Europe is zero. 28:50 The US under Trump is not going to expand its presence in Europe. There is a risk that the US will switch its attention to other areas. 30:06 European military potential faces problems with recruiting, retaining and training military personnel and independently conducting military operations. The whole task of Western civilization is to create the potential for the Ukrainian army. 31:33 Dependence on the US: The EU armed forces are struggling to operate independently, and will find it difficult to defend other NATO members without US help. A US withdrawal from the international arena would be catastrophic. 32:55 The US should not leave Europe quickly. Achieving European military independence will take time. 33:54 Moscow is already waging an unconventional hybrid war: sabotage, disinformation, assassinations, cyberattacks. Nuclear intimidation is just talk. 35:14 Russia is currently in no position to challenge NATO, so it will engage in hybrid or small-scale conflicts until it recovers, which will take 5 to 10 years. The Kremlin may try to undermine NATO. 36:21 Risk of miscalculation. Putin was not taken into intelligence even as a simple operative. The role of sycophancy in the risk of miscalculation is enormous. 38:58 The Kremlin's miscalculations and the devastating consequences of a future war with Russia underscore the need for the US and NATO to contain any potential threat. Ng sees no need to meet with Trump, and China has said it is not afraid of Trump. The threat must be contained now. 40:30 The confrontation with Russia is global in nature, and Moscow's actions are encouraging other countries to challenge Western power. The West's response to the invasion of Ukraine was limited, underscoring the inadequacy of European and American potential and the gap between rhetoric and action. 51:44 Russia's actions are forcing the US to give up some positions in the world. For example, the US base in Niger. This increases the threat to commercial vessels and US warships in the Red Sea. 42:25 China is unlikely to contain Russia because of its commercial interests. 43:10 The West's concessions to Russia in order to end the war in Ukraine will most likely increase support for its partners. This will increase the power and aggressiveness of Russia and the entire axis of evil. 45:11 Europe should reduce the burden on the US and take on more defense responsibilities. This should increase the importance of Ukraine. 45:30 Russia's revisionism and aggression remain and pose a significant threat. Avoiding the problem could lead to a more costly conflict in the future. 46:02 The US and its allies should proactively respond to Russian challenges without giving them the initiative. 46:32 Is the new US administration's staff ready to address these issues? US Air Force Secretary Kendall told senators that he shares their concerns about Elon Musk's contacts with Russian officials. 48:17 Musk's role in the American version of the Ukrainian OP. Musk's access to classified information. 50:34 Republicans treat Musk as if he is the boss. It is important for Trump to cut taxes for his billionaire friends, which will lead to a loss of up to a trillion dollars. Musk began threatening Republicans on Twitter. 55:12 The Atlantic: It turns out that the person who is responsible for the adoption of the tax increase bill is Musk. 56:47 All serious US analysts are trying to state their positions. All global securi