Bitkogan App for investors — unique trading strategies, investment ideas and stock market analytics from our team. And of course, up-to-date news and commentary on important market events from Evgeniy Kogan. Our mobile application is available at https://redirect.appmetrica.yandex.co... Advertising. Advertiser OOO "FINANCE.ANALYTICS.NEWS". OGRN 1227700077373. Erid: LjN8JsyJj Most experts call overheating the main problem of the Russian economy. Demand exceeds production capacity with limited production capacity and a labor shortage. Inflationary spiral in action. The Central Bank is fighting inflation by raising the key rate. There are alarmist forecasts that we are in for a recession in the form of stagflation. We talked to Alexey Ulyukayev about the overheating of the Russian economy and how the current economic situation is similar to what happened in Russia before the global economic crisis of 2008. About what inflation and the key rate of the Central Bank will be in Russia, as well as whether the US economy will cope with a large national debt and how dangerous the slowdown in economic growth in China is for Russia. Alexey Valentinovich Ulyukayev is a Doctor of Economic Sciences. From 2000 to 2004, he was the First Deputy Minister of Finance of Russia. From April 2004 to June 2013 - First Deputy Chairman of the Central Bank of Russia. From June 2013 to November 2016 - Minister of Economic Development of the Russian Federation. Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction 03:09 - How similar is the 2008 crisis to the current one? 08:27 - Is there overheating today? 11:36 - Is the shortage of highly skilled and well-trained labor a global problem? 13:47 - Are we losing small and medium businesses? 16:14 - Will large companies fulfill their agreements? 18:49 - Is the Central Bank raising the key rate, creating constraints on growth? 20:18 - About analysts' forecasts for the key rate 21:11 - The Central Bank's inflation forecast 22:19 - Why did investments grow during the crisis? 25:00 - About mortgage loans 26:43 - About the end of preferential mortgages 28:47 - The military-industrial complex and depressed regions 31:55 - About uncertainty 33:33 - About tax increases 36:45 - Does Russia have an open economy? 39:16 - How serious is a crisis in China? 40:59 - About the US national debt 44:27 - How do you assess the Central Bank's activities in the current conditions? What would you do if you were now in the Central Bank's management? 46:03 - Conclusion Follow us on social networks: Bitkogan Telegram channel: http://t.me/bitkogan Bitkogan HOTLINE Telegram channel: https://t.me/bitkogan_hotline Advertising: Telegram - http://t.me/bitkogan_ads Our products and consultations on any issues: https://t.me/bitkogan_official_bot