#yuriyshvets #yurishvets #ukraine #russia 00:00 Word of the Year from The Economist. 02:52 The White House announces $20 billion in aid to Ukraine. Laurence Tribe provides a legal justification for using frozen Central Bank of Russia funds. The Biden administration is in a hurry, as Trump will not provide any aid to Ukraine. Another $30 billion is to come from the EU and Japan. This is enough to give Ukraine another year to build a position of strength. 05:54 The Biden administration is imposing new sanctions to make it harder for Russia to receive oil and gas money. The EU will take similar action. If the Trump administration tries to lift sanctions against Russia, there will be grounds for political crises. 08:52 The Telegraph: Putin’s regime may be closer to a Soviet-style collapse than we think. Putin has failed to do anything to save his only ally in the Arab world. 10:33 Tim Ash of Chatham House: Turkey is now the master of the Syrian region. Turkish troops had to intervene to rescue Russian generals remaining at Russian bases in Syria. 11:43 Even if Putin manages to hold on to his naval base in Tartus, this concession will be made on Ottoman terms and under duress. Putin now enters the Ukraine negotiations from a position of weakness. 12:25 Will Russia manage to hold on to its naval base. Michael Kofman: In Syria, the Russians are preparing to leave. 13:45 Putin's strategic failure in Syria has left him in a position of weakness in the Ukraine negotiations. 14:53 Analysts warn that Putin will not get all the annexed areas. To bring about Russia's collapse, Saudi Arabia must cut prices to regain market share, then world prices will fall to $40. The war in Ukraine may end in Riyadh. 18:59 Musk is urgently looking for housing near Trump's residence. Musk currently plays a leading role in the selection, appointment and lobbying of personnel for the highest government positions. Trump does not do this, Musk does. But he does not have the formal right to do this. Nevertheless, those whom Musk calls, they understand that he has an informal right. This has never happened in the history of the United States. 23:07 Musk's activity led to a situation where Vice President Vance disappeared. Vance represents Peter Thiel. Apparently, joint activities are not working out. What Vance should do, Musk does. 25:32 The Biden administration continues to impose restrictions on China in order to leave Trump with about the same problem as Trump once left Biden with a problem in Afghanistan. 26:21 Trump let it slip that he had a phone conversation with China. From Trump's point of view, they have good relations with China, and together they can work to end Russia's war against Ukraine. 27:28 What is more important: US national interests or the business interests of individual representatives of the new government. 23:06 Atlantic Council expert: EU needs to overcome its worst fears of what will happen next. Despite the apocalyptic scenarios, Washington's policy shifts in 2025 may remain within the norm of previous eras. The new administration will face a system of checks and balances. 30:54 Trump did not win by a landslide, did not receive an uncontested mandate, so he will be limited by the small majority that the Republicans have in Congress. 31:57 This is unlikely to be a consolation for Ukraine, since Trump and his closest advisers do not treat Ukraine very well. In Congress, Ukraine will lose a number of its important supporters on key committees. Brian Mast will replace Mike McCall, and he supports Trump's proposals to cut aid to Ukraine. 34:36 The Trump administration will not provide assistance to Ukraine.