[News Station] Heads of countries congratulate China, but Japan is also affected... What will happen to diplomacy with the "Kakutora"? [News Station] (November 6, 2024)

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Published on Nov 6, 2024
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Trump, who proclaims "America First," was sure to win the presidential election. Messages from various countries were posted on social media one after another. ■ Heads of countries offer congratulations China is wary France President Macron: "Congratulations. We are ready to work together as we did for the past four years." Israel Prime Minister Netanyahu: "This is the greatest comeback in history. It will be a new beginning for America." Israel, which continues to fight in the Palestinian territories of Gaza and Lebanon, was overjoyed. In his last term, Trump reversed his previous policy and implemented an extreme "pro-Israel policy," so Israel is in a welcoming mood. People gathered in front of Trump Tower, waving the Israeli flag in joy. Meanwhile, the feelings of Lebanese citizens, who are under attack from Israel, are complicated. Lebanese citizen: "All we can do is pray to God for the war to end. We can only rely on God, not other countries or America." Some countries are on high alert. Mao Ning, Deputy Director of the Spokesperson's Office of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said, "The presidential election is an internal affair of the United States, and we respect the choice of the American people." Trump, who likes to make deals, is also calling for the increase of tariffs on China in this election campaign. It is expected that he will bring it to trade negotiations. ■ Trump's victory will also affect Japan Trump's proposal to increase tariffs on trade with China carries the risk of a resurgence of inflation, so long-term interest rates in the United States have risen sharply. In response, the yen has weakened and the dollar has strengthened. The Nikkei average stock price has risen by more than 1,000 yen since the 5th, and closed at the 39,000 yen level. In 2016, Prime Minister Abe met with Trump before he took office and built a relationship with him, but what kind of strategy will Prime Minister Ishiba draw up? Prime Minister Ishiba: "I heard Trump's victory declaration. I would like to offer my heartfelt congratulations to Trump on his victory and also express my respect for the democratic choice of the people of the United States. I will make efforts to establish contact with Trump as soon as possible." Prime Minister Ishiba is leaving for an international conference on a trip abroad. He is also exploring the possibility of stopping in the United States on his way back and meeting with him. The "Trump way" could completely change the international situation. Trump has insisted that he will "immediately end the Ukrainian war." He is reluctant to continue his support for Ukraine and has stated that he will immediately negotiate a ceasefire with Russian President Putin. ■ Zelensky: "Let's work together to make peace" Even within Ukraine, there was interest in the choice of leader of the largest donor country. President Zelensky immediately requested continued support. Ukrainian President Zelensky: "Congratulations on your wonderful victory. I hope that together we will make peace." Kyiv citizen: "What we are waiting for is for the war to stop. Trump has promised to end the war in one day. We are waiting for that." Russia on the other hand. Russian spokesman Peskov: "Relations with the United States are at a historic low. What happens next will depend on the next American president. Let's wait until he takes office in January." Moscow resident: "(Q: I think Trump's election is a very good thing for Russia. (Q: You say you can end the war immediately) I hope you try." ■ What about diplomacy with Trump's victory? How will American diplomacy proceed in the future? First, let's summarize the foreign policy that Trump pursued in his first term. In 2017, immediately after taking office, he withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a free trade agreement in the Asia-Pacific region led by Japan and the United States. The reason given was that it would "affect American manufacturing." In December of the same year, he recognized Jerusalem as the "capital" of Israel, ignoring Palestine, and the following year moved the American embassy to Jerusalem. This was strongly opposed by the Palestinian Authority. In 2018, he held the first-ever US-North Korea summit with North Korean Chairman Kim Jong-un. The following year, they met for the second time, but the talks ended in a stalemate. (Q: Trump adopted a foreign policy that surprised people in his first term, but do you think he will make an unexpected move in his second term?) Professor Kazuhiro Maejima, Sophia University: "Ukraine and the Middle East are currently at a dead end, so there is hope that Trump will somehow break this dead end. In the case of Ukraine, he is trying to get them to give up by hinting that the United States will stop providing weapons. This also seems like a Trump-style deal. As for Israel, he may end the matter by supporting Israel. Deals are difficult for security allies. It's not a deal, it's a philosophy. For example, the idea that the international order must be protected, that it would be terrible if China invaded Taiwan, and therefore the United States will intervene militarily, is an easy move for Japan to understand as an ally, but Trump has said, 'Taiwan is getting bigger by stealing American semiconductors. Why are they asking America for help? They should defend themselves.' On the other side of that, it's an America First kind of deal, asking them to buy American weapons and defense equipment. It's conceivable that he could come to Japan in the same way." (Q. The term of office of the US president is limited to two terms, or eight years, and the next four years will be Trump's last term. What kind of America do you think he will create?) Professor Kazuhiro Maejima, Sophia University: "We have gradually come to understand his movements over the first four years, and now there are many people around Trump who want to join his administration. Trump has said that he will 'clean up the deep state in Washington,' and he may change the current bureaucratic organization. He already has control of the Senate, so there is a possibility that the people in Washington will change considerably. It is difficult to say whether this is a positive or negative thing." (Q. Is there no one who can act as a stopper for Trump?) Professor Kazuhiro Maejima, Sophia University: "Those who opposed Trump left during his first term, and some people supported Harris this time. I think the first condition when choosing someone is that they pledge loyalty to Trump." (C) CABLE NEWS NETWORK 2024 [TV Asahi news] https://news.tv-asahi.co.jp

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