Muharem Bazdulj - "Black Swan"
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Muharrem Bazdulj's lecture on "Black Swan" (November 5, 2024) Nasim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese-American writer, statistician, former stock broker and risk analyst. The great world bestseller "Black Swan" is a book that deals with the phenomenon of incredible and unpredictable events. Using the term black swan, the author talks about phenomena that are considered to be extremely unexpected, but which nevertheless occur and bring about tectonic changes on a global scale. It is also a reference to a famous philosophical thought experiment from the 17th century. In Europe until then, no one had seen swans other than white ones, so the statement "all swans are white" was often used as an example of an undeniable truth. The chance of finding a black swan was thought to be zero, until it happened in 1697 in Australia. It was obvious that their alleged non-existence could not be proven on the basis of previous experience. The same was true for the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001, for the famous Maginot line, the supposedly insurmountable rampart of the French defense in World War II that German troops simply bypassed, the expansion of the Internet, the appearance of the Google search engine, the crash of the world stock markets in the fall of 2008. .. In this interesting book, Nasim Taleb presents the possibilities and limitations of human thought.
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