Is Brazil at risk of losing the value of its currency by 2025? In the first episode of the year, we explore the major challenges and risks that Brazil may face in 2025. We welcome Daniel Leichsenring, an economist with over 20 years of experience in the financial market, to talk about the structural problems that threaten the Brazilian economy and also analyze whether the Real may be on the verge of a major devaluation. We discuss how the fiscal crisis, high interest rates and political uncertainty may impact investments and the lives of Brazilians. Are we heading towards repeating the mistakes of other countries, such as Turkey, where the local currency has drastically lost its purchasing power? And what about Brazil's political leadership? Is it lacking the courage to face the problems head on and implement significant changes? In addition, we delve deeper into the discussion about the role of the Central Bank, under Galípolo's leadership, and the challenges of conducting monetary policy in a context of fiscal and political pressures. Will Brazil be able to find a path to sustainable growth or are we in an endless cycle of crises? If you are looking for clarity on what to expect in 2025, this video is a must-watch! And if you liked the episode, leave a like, subscribe to the channel and activate the bell so you don't miss our next episodes! 00:00:00 - Opening 00:01:19 - Introduction 00:01:41 - Guest Presentation 00:03:01 - Discussion on the Brazilian Economy 00:08:13 - Analysis of the Fiscal Situation 00:11:05 - Analysis of Brazilian Politics 00:13:41 - Conclusion 00:16:54 - Reflections on Leadership in Brazil 00:22:04 - The Importance of the Budget in the Organization of the State 00:28:24 - Reflections on Reelection and the Organization of the State 00:33:18 - Analysis of the Current Political Situation 00:37:24 - The Importance of Leadership in Politics 00:39:08 - Forecasts for 2025 and 2026 00:45:52 - Forecasts for the 2026 Election 00:48:03 - Relevant Factors for the 2025 Economic Scenario 00:56:49 - Analysis of the Foreign Exchange Market and the Dollar 01:02:33 - Forecasts for the Brazilian Economy 01:15:22 - Expectations for the Central Bank in 2025 01:28:50 - Analysis of the American Stock Market 01:29:39 - Analysis of American Monetary Policy and Forecasts for the Future 01:30:19 - Conclusion and Recommendations 01:35:01 - Music Recommendation 01:36:13 - Guest Suggestions for Market Makers 01:38:02 - Closing and Acknowledgments - - - - - - - - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY IN 2025: TOTAL COLLAPSE OR RECOVERY? Market Makers #168 Presenter: Josué Guedes (@josueguedes__) and Thiago Salomão (@_salomoney) Guest: Daniel Leichsenring (Economist) #ECONOMY #BRAZIL #STOCKEXCHANGE #FISCALCRISIS#INVESTMENTS #THIAGOSALOMAO #MARKETMAKERS