The interest rate shock and the economy in 2025 THE SUBJECT
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At the last Copom meeting with Roberto Campos Neto as president of the Central Bank – he will be replaced by Gabriel Galípolo, appointed by Lula –, the Council decided to raise the basic interest rate to 12.25% per year. The 1 percentage point increase was already above what the market expected, but the future guidance was even harsher: two new increases, also of 1 pp each, in January and March 2025. Faced with a scenario of full employment, rising consumption and inflation above the target ceiling, Copom's decision seeks to contain price increases. But it also reflects the general climate of uncertainty with the instability of the external scenario and the government's ability to meet the fiscal target and control public debt. To understand what led the Central Bank to adopt a more aggressive stance, Natuza Nery talks to economist Zeina Latif, partner at Gibraltar Consulting and columnist for the newspaper O Globo. Zeina analyzes Copom's choice for the “shock treatment” of interest rates and the market's response to it. She also assesses whether the increase in the Selic rate will be enough in the effort to bring inflation back within the target and the prospects of the monetary cycle for the real economy in 2025. #thesubject ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello! This is the g1 channel, Globo's news portal. Here we will bring videos to inform, inspire and entertain. Want to understand a fact? Come with us! ???? Want to see cool stories? Come with us! ???? Want to know what's going on? Come with us! ???? Check out all our playlists! https://bit.ly/3zdXlHY Follow us and activate the bell ???? to find out everything that's going on here on the g1 channel on YouTube. You can come in, feel free to share with your friends and don't forget to subscribe, okay? https://glo.bo/3pIZyHL ???????????? And much more content on g1.com.br g1 on Social Networks: TikTok - glo.bo/33cZzg1 Kwai - glo.bo/3pJoShs Facebook - facebook.com/g1 Twitter - twitter.com/g1 Instagram - instagram.com/portalg1/ #g1 #news
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