🧠 Learn how to invest with me in Brazil and around the world: https://sard.ink/4j0CVd8 🚨 Is 2025 the DECISIVE year for Brazil? The MOST REALISTIC scenario for stocks, the dollar and inflation. This is Giro da Bolsa, the weekly program on the Investidor Sardinha channel with the main news from the Stock Exchange and the financial market. In this edition, we will show that, despite a calmer week after New Year's Eve, market pessimism has returned with a vengeance. The Focus Bulletin predicts rising inflation and the Selic rate could hit 15% per year in 2025. This directly affects stocks, GDP and, of course, your investments. But what can we expect from 2025, in the third year of the Lula government? Is Brazil at risk of collapsing and entering a new economic crisis? In today's video, we'll understand how 2024 was for the stock market and the financial market, and what the most realistic projections are for 2025. Will the Ibovespa recover and hit 140,000 points in 2025? And what to expect from the dollar, interest rates and inflation? Inflation, debt and fiscal risk: Brazil on alert! The government continues to face the serious problem of the public deficit, with record numbers for 2024 haunting 2025. The deficit of more than R$1 trillion and the public debt above 77% of GDP are reasons for concern for investors and analysts, and raise an important question. Will the Lula and Haddad government be able to cut spending in 2025 to get the economy back on track? In addition, the real suffered a strong devaluation and enters 2025 as the currency that has weakened the most on the planet, even with the historic interventions of the Central Bank. The dollar reached R$6.30 and left a significant impact on the stock market and national reserves. Will the government finally tame the dollar or will the US currency continue to rise in 2025? USA, Trump and the impacts for Brazil In the United States, the inauguration of President Donald Trump brings a new chapter on the global scene, with possible impacts for Brazil. Risks of export taxation and changes in the commodities market can generate uncertainty for companies such as Petrobras (PETR4) and Vale (VALE3). On the other hand, Bitcoin and gold continue to surprise, with historic highs in 2024. Will 2025 maintain this pace? The cryptocurrency market continues to be a bold bet for most investors, but it is always good to remember the risks and volatility of assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. And in the QUICKIE segment, we will explain the absurd profitability of almost 16% per year of public bonds from Tesouro Direto, the government's efforts to save Azul (AZUL4) and GOL (GOLL4), and the dividends announced by BTG Pactual (BPAC11). We will understand all this and much more in today's program, and check out the weekly closing of Ibovespa, Ifix, S&P 500, Nasdaq, dollar, ethereum and bitcoin. And if you liked the news of the week, share your opinion here in the comments. Take advantage and subscribe to the channel and leave your like, so we can continue bringing quality information every week, rain or shine! 😎 ======================================= RECOMMENDED FOR BEGINNERS 👑 How to build your investment portfolio • HOW TO CREATE AN INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO... 💰 4 ways to make money from your bank • 4 WAYS TO MAKE MONEY FROM YOUR BANK... 🤯 The 8 biggest stupidities of the MIDDLE CLASS • The 8 biggest STUPIDITIES of the middle class! 💣 4 reasons why you should NEVER form a consortium • 💣 4 reasons why you should NEVER ... USEFUL VIDEOS ⚠️ How to learn to invest without taking a course? • HOW TO LEARN TO INVEST ALONE WITHOUT ... 💸 How did the rich really get rich? • How did the rich get rich? That's not it... ======================================= 📷 Follow me on Instagram: @oraulsena 🌎 Our closed group on Telegram: https://t.me/investidorsardinha 00:00 This is the Stock Exchange Giro 00:17 Ibovespa quote (stocks fall) 00:40 Ifix, S&P 500, Nasdaq, dollar, ethereum and bitcoin quote 01:30 Focus Bulletin increases inflation and interest rate outlook in 2025 02:16 Selic of 15% in 2025? 02:59 Fiscal deficit: R$1 trillion hole in 2024 03:47 Lula government: 2024 balance sheet (negative records) 04:02 High dollar and devaluation of the real (exchange flow and foreign capital flow) 04:40 Ibovespa falls almost 10% in 2024 05:23 Will the stock market fall in 2025? (Ibovespa hits 140,000 points?) 06:53 What will the Trump government be like in the US? 07:21 How will the Trump government affect Brazil? 07:59 Conflicts in the Middle East affect oil prices (Petrobras) 08:21 Gold rises sharply in 2024, but may fall in 2025 08:46 Will bitcoin rise in 2025? Will BTC reach 200,000 dollars? 09:45 Quickies (news of the week) 10:09 Debts: Gol (GOLL4) and Azul (AZUL4) close deal with the government 10:36 B3 and Receita launch Revar (Income Tax) 10:52 Tesouro Direto: fixed-rate yields almost 16% per year 11:48 Lula creates state-owned company for aerospace exploration 12:01 Gusttavo Lima will run for President of the Republic in 2026 12:53 Dividends: BTG Pactual (BPAC11) 13:06 Flamengo and Corinthians may lose sponsorship from BETs