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Amin Maalouf's analyses turn out to be predictions, as he seems to have a prescience of major issues before they surface in universal consciousness. Twenty years ago, he was worried about the rise of "Murderous Identities"; ten years ago, about the "Disruption of the World". Today, with "The Shipwreck of Civilizations" (Grasset), he is convinced that we are reaching the threshold of a global shipwreck, which affects all areas of civilization.