#yuriyshvets #yurishvets #ukraine #russia 00:00 On the adoption of the temporary US budget. Trump wanted to give a gift to his billionaire friends. 08:33 It turned out that there is a system of checks and balances in Congress. There is a significant part of legislators in Congress that will not allow crazy decisions to be made. 08:50 This event showed that Musk is a layman in government. This could end unpredictably for the United States. 09:35 Financial Times: Trump's closest aides said that he will help arm Ukraine, seeking to end the war. Trump will demand that all NATO members increase defense spending to 5% of GDP. If they manage to achieve an increase in spending, Trump will continue to help Ukraine. 14:35 How to treat Trump's words. Trump in The Time: one of the most important issues is a settlement in the Middle East, we will settle the situation there. 17:23 When and how Trump is going to help Ukraine. 18:58 Trump is going to impose 75% tariffs on China. Now he said that everything depends on China. Musk played a key role in this. 23:13 There is an opportunity to make a deal with Iran. In this case, Russia will lose two of its most important allies. Without their support, Putin will not be able to sustain the war for long. 24:50 China's position on relations with the United States. Professor at the National University of China on Foreign Affairs. China is not afraid of China. A Trump presidency will benefit China. The rivalry will depend on reforms in the United States and China. 28:58 The rhetoric of Trump and his team demonstrates a tough approach. There will be no winners in the tariff and technology war. The likelihood of a military clash is practically excluded. 31:26 Beijing is not going to create a timetable for reunification with Taiwan because it is mainly concerned with the economic system. 32:01 Economic and strategic conflicts may intensify, but they will not escalate into ideological conflicts that could put the two countries on the brink of direct confrontation. Trump's political isolationism could make the US less interested in protecting traditional allies. 34:11 If Trump cuts aid to Ukraine, US allies could become more open to relations with China, creating opportunities to build ties with them. Cutting off US aid to Ukraine would strengthen cooperation between the EU and China, and Trump would then find himself against Russia, China, and NATO countries in the EU. This should force Trump to continue aiding Ukraine. Wherever the US withdraws, a vacuum will be created that China will fill. 38:13 The biggest risk for Beijing will be Elon Musk's reforms of the US government. If China carries out better reforms, the gap in power with the US could be reduced. Musk's great influence could be a danger to the US. Intelligence agencies prefer not to mess with such an agent. Musk could decide the outcome of the rivalry between the two countries. Therefore, China will do everything possible to influence Musk. 44:33 They laugh at Putin. The situation with technology and the military-industrial complex is bad.